7/26/2009

Swedish Morphological Society

Strategic Decision Support Modelling with Morphological Analysis

General Morphological Analysis (GMA) is a computer-aided method for structuring and analysing the total set of relationships contained in multi-dimensional, non-quantifiable, problem complexes. Developed by the Swedish National Defence Research Agency in the middle of the 1990s, it can be used for structuring complex policy and planning issues, developing scenario and strategy laboratories, and analysing organisational and stakeholder structures. GMA is especially useful for working with so-called Wicked Problems.

The Swedish Morphological Society is a non-commercial, scientific site whose purpose is the dissemination of knowledge concerning the scientific use of morphological analysis, its theory and practice. We present articles and links on morphological analysis, its pioneer Professor Fritz Zwicky (California Institute of Technology), and on Projects where morphological analysis has been utilized. A preliminary Tutorial: "Modeling Complex Socio-Technical Systems using Morphological Analysis" is on the tutorial page.


Download List

Please Note: This is a register of the articles that can be downloaded from the Swedish Morphological Society's website. Some of these articles appear on other pages, and if you have already downloaded material from other pages, you may get duplicates. This list will be continually updated.


All documents in PDF-format.

Morphological Analysis - A general method for non-quantified modeling
Adapted from a paper presented at the 16th Euro-Conference on Operational Analysis, Brussels (1998).
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/gma.pdf

Modeling Complex Socio-Technical Systems using Morphological Analysis
Adapted from an address to the Swedish Parliamentry IT Commission, Stockholm, December 2002.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/it-webart.pdf


Futures Studies using Morphological Analysis
Adapted from an Article for the UN University Millennium Project: Futures Research Methodology Series, 2005.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/futures.pdf


Developing Scenario Laboratories with Computer-Aided Morphological Analysis
Presented at the 14th International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium (ICCRTS), Washington DC – June 15-17, 2009.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/cornwallis3.pdf

Analysis and Synthesis - On Scientific Method based on a Study by Bernhard Riemann.
Reprint from: Systems Research 8(4), 21-41 (1991, revised 1996).
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/anaeng-r.pdf


Wicked Problems. Structuring Social Messes with Morphological Analysis
Adapted from a lecture given at the Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm, 2004.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/wp.pdf


Problem Structuring using Computer-Aided Morphological Analysis
This is the post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of the article published by JORS. The definitive publisher-authenticated version, Ritchey, T. Problem Structuring using computer-aided morphological analysis, Journal of the Operational Research Society (2006) 57, 792-801, is available online at: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v57/n7/abs/2602177a.html
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/psm-gma.pdf

Modelling Society's Capacity to Manage Extraordinary Events
Adapted from a paper presented at the SRA (Society for Risk Analysis) Conference in Paris, 15-17 November, 2004.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/sra.pdf


Strategic Decision Support using Computerised Morphological Analysis
Presented at the 9th International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Copenhagen, 14-16 September, 2004.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/iccrts1.pdf


Modeling Multi-Hazard Disaster Reduction Strategies with Computer-Aided Morphological Analysis
Reprint from the Proceedings of the 3rd International ISCRAM Conference, Newark, NJ (USA), May 2006.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/multi.pdf


Combining morphological analysis and Bayesian networks for strategic decision support
From ORiON, Volume 23 (2), pp. 105–121 (2007).
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/mabn.pdf

Scenarios and Strategies for an Extended Producer Responsibility System
Adapted from a Study for the Swedish Ministry of the Environment.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/epr9.pdf


Threat Analysis for the Transport of Radioactive Material using Morphological Analysis
in Packaging, Transport, Storage & Security of Radioactive Material, prm481.3d 18/2/2009, The Charlesworth Group, Wakefield.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/ma-patram1.pdf


Using Morphological Analysis to Evaluate Preparedness for Accidents Involving Hazardous Materials
Study for the Swedish Rescue Services Board, presented at the 4th International Conference for Local Authorities, Shanghai, November, 2002.
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/chem2.pdf


Nuclear Facilities and Sabotage: Using Morphological Analysis as a Scenario and Strategy Development Laboratory
Adapted from a Study for the Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, and presented to the 44th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management - Phoenix, Arizona, July 2003
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/inmm-r2.pdf

Protection against Sabotage of Nuclear Facilities: Using Morphological Analysis in Revising the Design Basis Threat
Adapted from a Study for the Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, and presented to the 44th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management - Phoenix, Arizona, July 2003
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/dbt1.pdf

Living with UXO - Risk Analysis for UneXploded Ordnance
Adapted from a Study for the Swedish Armed Forces
http://www.swemorph.com/pdf/oxa1.pdf



Source: http://www.swemorph.com/index.html





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